Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pardubice, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Maximilian Marterer		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	X	2
	2.19		1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)		1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
41.8%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
58.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

Marterer is ranked ATP: 1439., and Bailly is ranked ATP: 316..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Marterer may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bailly holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Maximilian Marterer - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Maximilian Marterer - Benjamin Hassan	Marterer M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Maximilian Marterer - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Louis Wessels - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LW?LW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Calvin Hemery	Bailly G. A. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Maximilian Marterer - Thijs Boogaard	✺

Maximilian Marterer - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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