Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Hayato Matsuoka		James McCabe

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.71	1.42	Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.52)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
31.4%

James McCabe
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayato Matsuoka's form might have worsened.

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James McCabe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 483. McCabe is ranked ATP: 196.

Matsuoka has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

McCabe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

McCabe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McCabe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

James McCabe - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Tai Sach - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Cruz Hewitt - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
16.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniel Jovanovski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WW?WW
- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	James McCabe - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	James McCabe - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	James McCabe - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	James McCabe - Cruz Hewitt	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	James McCabe - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide