Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Jaime Faria		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.51	2.49
	1.53	2.73
	1.51	2.49	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.5	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	2.57 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
63.2%

Rei Sakamoto
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rei Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jaime Faria - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 97. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 148.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Faria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Jaime Faria - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Jaime Faria - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Jaime Faria - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Jaime Faria - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Aziz Dougaz - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

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