Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Anton Matusevich		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.00	1.73
	2.10	1.67
	2.08	1.71
	2.15	1.76
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.04	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	1.73 (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anton Matusevich
45.5%

Rei Sakamoto
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anton Matusevich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anton Matusevich than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Anton Matusevich - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matusevich is ranked ATP: 385. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 148.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anton Matusevich
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Mark Lajal - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Elias Ymer - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

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