Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Jamie Mackenzie		Jan Kumstat

	1	2
	2.30	1.55
	2.44	1.49
	2.63	1.51
	2.5	1.47
	2.6	1.49
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.13)	1.5 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jamie Mackenzie
37.8%

Jan Kumstat
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jamie Mackenzie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jamie Mackenzie's performance.

Jan Kumstat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Kumstat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jamie Mackenzie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Kumstat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jamie Mackenzie - Jan Kumstat Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mackenzie will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kumstat will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 573. Kumstat is ranked ATP: 336.

In recent matches, Mackenzie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kumstat is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kumstat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kumstat is the team to beat.

We predict that Kumstat will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jamie Mackenzie
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Jan Choinski - Jamie Mackenzie	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Max Dahlin	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLWWW
- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Alan Wazny	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Jamie Mackenzie - Jan Kumstat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide