Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Final

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday


	Jan Choinski		Jamie Mackenzie

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	4.00
	1.22	4.10
	1.23	4.69
	1.19	4.13	Watch
	1.21	4.50
	1.21	3.96	Watch
	1.20	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)	4.2 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
77.6%

Jamie Mackenzie
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Jamie Mackenzie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jamie Mackenzie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jamie Mackenzie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Jamie Mackenzie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 88. Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 931.

Choinski has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mackenzie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Choinski is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Jan Choinski - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Jan Choinski - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Jan Choinski - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWW?
- Jamie Mackenzie
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Max Dahlin	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.26	Viktor Durasovic - Jamie Mackenzie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWL

Jan Choinski - Jamie Mackenzie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide