Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Jan Choinski		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.89	1.88	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
51.2%

Duje Ajdukovic
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 201. Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 170.

Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajdukovic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajdukovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Choinski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
03.04.25	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Jan Choinski - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWLL
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2

Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide