Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Jan Choinski		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.33	3.42
	1.27	3.48	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.46)	3.48 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
73.1%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frederico Ferreira Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frederico Ferreira Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Ferreira Silva (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ferreira Silva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 128. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 253.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferreira Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Choinski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Jan Choinski - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Luka Pavlovic - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Jan Choinski - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WL?LW
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Maxim Zhukov - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Jan Choinski - Frederico Ferreira Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide