Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Jan Choinski		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.19
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.69	2.09	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
53.4%

Matej Dodig
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan Choinski will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 176. Dodig is ranked ATP: 246.

Choinski is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dodig is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Jan Choinski - Manvydas Balciunas	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Jan Choinski - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Jan Choinski - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Matej Dodig - Stijn Slump	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Matej Dodig - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches