Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Mathys Erhard		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.29	1.29
			Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.27	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.59)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
28.8%

Guy Den Ouden
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mathys Erhard - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 268. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 184.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Den Ouden is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Abel Forger	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Mathys Erhard - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Marko Topo - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Mathys Erhard - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide