Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Final

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Guy Den Ouden		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
44.5%

Ignacio Buse
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guy Den Ouden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Guy Den Ouden - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Den Ouden will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Buse will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 50%). Buse (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 187. Buse is ranked ATP: 192.

Now, both players are in good form.

Den Ouden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Marko Topo - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Elmer Moller - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Guy Den Ouden - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Ignacio Buse - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

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