Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Jan Choinski		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.19	4.1	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.21	4.16	Watch
	1.19	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.44)	3.93 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
76.2%

Ivan Gakhov
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivan Gakhov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Gakhov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 158. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 288.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Gakhov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Choinski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Gakhov - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Jan Choinski - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- Ivan Gakhov
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ryan Nijboer - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.02.21	Jan Choinski - Ivan Gakhov	2:0

Jan Choinski - Ivan Gakhov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide