Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln (Austria), clay - Final

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)


	Jan Choinski		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.41
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)	2.27 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
58.6%

Lukas Neumayer
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Jan Choinski - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Neumayer will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 276. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 320.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Jan Choinski - Jakub Nicod	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Jan Choinski - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Jan Choinski - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Vit Kopriva - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Rudolf Molleker - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Lukas Neumayer - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Oliver Crawford - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Lukas Neumayer - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

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