Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)


	Jan Choinski		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.35	3.29
	1.33	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.32	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.6)	3.1 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
69.8%

Marvin Moeller
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marvin Moeller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 276. Moeller is ranked ATP: 345.

Recent matches Choinski is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moeller has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Choinski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Choinski won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Vit Kopriva - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:3 ✺
22.08.24	Jan Choinski - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Valentin Vacherot - Jan Choinski	Vacherot V. retired ✺
20.08.24	Jan Choinski - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLW?W
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Ergi Kirkin - Marvin Moeller	Canceled ✺
27.08.24	Marvin Moeller - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Ivan Gakhov - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
22.07.23	Marvin Moeller - Jan Choinski	0:2
ITF Tournaments
16.08.17	Marvin Moeller - Jan Choinski	0:2

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