Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2 (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Santos R. (Por)


	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.34	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
39.1%

Lukas Neumayer
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 237. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 320.

Rodriguez Taverna is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neumayer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Carlos Taberner - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
15.08.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
14.08.24	Luca Castagnola - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
13.08.24	Lukas Neumayer - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
05.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW

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