Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday


	Jan Choinski		Theo Papamalamis

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.3	3.15	Watch
	1.32	3.46
			Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	3.16 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
70.4%

Theo Papamalamis
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Theo Papamalamis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Theo Papamalamis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jan Choinski - Theo Papamalamis Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 202. Papamalamis is ranked ATP: 636.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Papamalamis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Choinski is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Jan Choinski - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Jaime Faria - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Paul Jubb - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- Theo Papamalamis
ITF Tournaments
28.06.25	Theo Papamalamis - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Abel Forger - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Pepijn Bastiaansen - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Gustavo Albieri - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Theo Papamalamis - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Jan Choinski - Theo Papamalamis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide