Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:


	Jan Choinski		Mark Lajal

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Jan Choinski
30.2%

Mark Lajal
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Choinski is ranked ATP: 208. Lajal is ranked ATP: 168.

In recent matches, Choinski has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lajal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lajal is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Jaime Faria - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Paul Jubb - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Mark Lajal - Hubert Hurkacz	Lajal M. walkover ✺
11.06.25	Laslo Djere - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Corentin Denolly - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 L?WWW

Jan Choinski - Mark Lajal