Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Jan Kumstat		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.65	2.10
	1.68	2.10
	1.67	2.27
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
56.5%

Max Houkes
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jan Kumstat - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Houkes will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 336. Houkes is ranked ATP: 242.

Kumstat is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houkes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kumstat will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Alan Wazny	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Max Houkes - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Jerome Kym - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Max Houkes - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Max Houkes - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL

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