What is the expert prediction for Corentin Moutet vs Learner Tien?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Corentin Moutet vs Learner Tien. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Corentin Moutet vs Learner Tien Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, October 04, 2025)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Corentin Moutet		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2.13	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)	2.12 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
55.2%

Learner Tien
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Tien will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tien (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 37. Tien is ranked ATP: 52.

In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.25	Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Etcheverry T. M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LWL?
- Learner Tien
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. retired ✺
29.09.25	Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
27.09.25	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WL??W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
26.06.25	Learner Tien - Corentin Moutet	0:2
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3

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