Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.64	2.37
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
55.7%

Mackenzie McDonald
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jan Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 98. McDonald is ranked ATP: 99.

Struff is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

McDonald is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Struff will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Struff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?L?W
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1

Upcoming Matches