Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Gael Monfils		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.54
	2.49	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.37)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
36.9%

Matteo Berrettini
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.7%	0%	30.3%

Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Berrettini will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 38. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 35.

Monfils in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Berrettini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Monfils to win the game is with odds 2.92.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Monfils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Gael Monfils - Ben Shelton	Monfils G. retired ✺
17.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Gael Monfils	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Daniel Altmaier - Gael Monfils	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Gael Monfils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 ?WWWW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
25.01.22	Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini	2:3
ATP Cup
02.02.21	Matteo Berrettini - Gael Monfils	2:0
ATP US Open
04.09.19	Matteo Berrettini - Gael Monfils	3:2

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