Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4.2
	1.22	4.3
	1.22	4.25
	1.22	4.49
	1.25	3.75
	1.17	4.55	Watch
	1.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.26 ↑ (3.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
77.9%

Luca Nardi
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Jan Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Struff is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Alexander Ritschard - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Luca Nardi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Valentin Vacherot - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
09.04.23	Luca Nardi - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Constant Lestienne - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0

Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide