Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Constant Lestienne		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.76	2.02
	1.76	2.08
	1.76	2.08
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.45)	2.04 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
53.9%

Luca Nardi
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constant Lestienne's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	0%	95.8%

Constant Lestienne - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Nardi will win (votes: 23 - 95.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 87.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lestienne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Constant Lestienne - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Constant Lestienne	Lestienne C. retired ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L???L
- Luca Nardi
ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Luca Nardi - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Max Purcell - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Luca Nardi - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.02.21	Constant Lestienne - Luca Nardi	2:1

Constant Lestienne - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide