Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Rafael Jodar		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.29	3.43
	1.33	3.75
	1.30	3.42	Watch
	1.32	3.6
	1.33	3.72	Watch
	1.32	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.18)	3.55 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
73%

Shintaro Mochizuki
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Jodar's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 26. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 151.

Recent performances by Jodar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mochizuki is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
29.06.26	Rafael Jodar - Felix Gill	3:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Ignacio Buse - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
31.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Clement Tabur - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

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