Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.20	1.35
	3.45	1.38
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3.30	1.36
	3.35	1.39	Watch
	3.20	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
29.7%

Ethan Quinn
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethan Quinn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethan Quinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Ethan Quinn will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ethan Quinn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 151. Quinn is ranked ATP: 47.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Quinn is considered a favorite.

We predict that Quinn will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ethan Quinn - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.01%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Clement Tabur - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Nuno Borges - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Murphy Cassone - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

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