Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Jasmine Paolini		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.18
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.64	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.37)	2.23 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
57.2%

Diana Shnaider
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	0%	56.7%

Jasmine Paolini - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Shnaider will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Shnaider (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Paolini (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Shnaider (votes: 6 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 5. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 11.

Now, both players are in good form.

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Diana Shnaider - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
14.01.24	Diana Shnaider - Jasmine Paolini	0:2

Jasmine Paolini - Diana Shnaider: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide