Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jasmine Paolini		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.80	2.00
	1.74	2.05
	1.79	2.14
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.75	2.07
	1.79	2.17	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
54.2%

Maria Sakkari
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sakkari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	0%	42.3%

Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Sakkari will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 17. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 43.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Robin Montgomery	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Maria Sakkari - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
15.06.26	Qinwen Zheng - Maria Sakkari	2:1 ✺
WTA London
09.06.26	Maria Sakkari - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.26	Maria Sakkari - Maja Chwalinska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
10.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.21	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide