Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - Final

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday


	Javier Barranco Cosano		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.12
	1.62	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.61	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Javier Barranco Cosano
56.2%

Lorenzo Giustino
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javier Barranco Cosano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+2%)

Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 402. Giustino is ranked ATP: 340.

Barranco Cosano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giustino is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barranco Cosano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranco Cosano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Javier Barranco Cosano
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Javier Barranco Cosano	Winter Lopez B. retired ✺
22.08.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Maximo Nagele	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWLW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2
10.06.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino	Barranco Cosano J. retired
Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
17.07.20	Lorenzo Giustino - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2
ATP Challenger
12.03.19	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2
ITF Tournaments
19.04.18	Lorenzo Giustino - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2

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