Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Jay Clarke		Felix Gill

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.01	1.66
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
45%

Felix Gill
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Gill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jay Clarke - Felix Gill Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 232., and Gill is ranked ATP: 213..

Clarke is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gill has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gill could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Gill is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Clarke - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Felix Gill - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Jay Clarke - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Jay Clarke - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Jay Clarke - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Felix Gill - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Felix Gill - Jack Pinnington Jones	Gill F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLL?

Jay Clarke - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide