Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Felix Gill		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.96	1.91
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.62)	1.87 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Gill
50.1%

Sebastian Ofner
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Gill's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Gill that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Felix Gill - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gill will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Ofner will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gill is ranked ATP: 221. Ofner is ranked ATP: 125.

Gill has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ofner's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Gill
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Felix Gill - Jack Pinnington Jones	Gill F. Retired ✺
12.08.26	Colton Smith - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Felix Gill - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Max Basing - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 L?WLL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Sebastian Ofner - Edas Butvilas	Ofner S. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 ?LLLL

Felix Gill - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide