Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Omar Jasika

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.45	2.70
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	2.15	1.68
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	2.47 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
61.3%

Omar Jasika
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omar Jasika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 525., and Jasika is ranked ATP: 422..

Kachmazov arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Jasika shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jasika could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kachmazov is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kachmazov in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kachmazov has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Yan Lang Chen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	Sharipov M. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Omar Jasika - Martin Borisiouk	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0
04.07.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	0:2

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