Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Jay Dylan Hara Friend		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.66
	1.47	2.48	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
63.2%

Michele Ribecai
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 312. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 264.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hara Friend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hara Friend is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Michele Ribecai - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Billy Harris - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Michele Ribecai - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	George Loffhagen - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Johannus Monday - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Anton Matusevich - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW

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