Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.98	1.78
	2.05	1.85
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.83
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.51)	1.78 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
47.3%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Dylan Hara Friend might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Dylan Hara Friend could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 260. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 312.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Peter Makk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
26.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL

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