Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live


	Jelena Ostapenko		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	2.01	1.82
	2.02	1.88
	2	1.8
	1.97	1.84	Watch
	2.01	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
48.1%

Ludmilla Samsonova
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Jelena Ostapenko - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Samsonova will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samsonova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Beijing
04.10.23	Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Linda Noskova - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. walkover ✺
01.10.23	Eva Lys - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
20.09.23	Sofia Kenin - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 W?WLW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Beijing
04.10.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Petra Kvitova - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Alycia Parks - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Tokyo
26.09.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Tatjana Maria - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Luxembourg
18.09.21	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2
WTA Australian Open
20.01.20	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Ludmilla Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide