Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jelena Ostapenko		Taylor Townsend

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.78	2
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2	1.87
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)	1.86 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
48.7%

Taylor Townsend
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelena Ostapenko's form might have worsened.

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Townsend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Townsend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Jelena Ostapenko - Taylor Townsend Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Townsend will win (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 26. Townsend is ranked WTA: 139.

Ostapenko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Townsend is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. walkover ✺
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?LW
- Taylor Townsend
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Taylor Townsend - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Taylor Townsend - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Danielle Collins - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Taylor Townsend - Mihaela Buzarnescu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Taylor Townsend - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA US Open
30.08.18	Taylor Townsend - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Taylor Townsend: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide