Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jelena Ostapenko		Xiyu Wang

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.49	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.55	2.63	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	2.64 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
63.9%

Xiyu Wang
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xiyu Wang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Wang will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wang: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 27. Wang is ranked WTA: 138.

Recent form of Ostapenko has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wang is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ostapenko could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Wang will win today's game, with odds of 2.71.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. walkover ✺
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?LWL
- Xiyu Wang
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Alina Charaeva - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Petra Martic - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Carson Branstine - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Iryna Shymanovich - Xiyu Wang	Wang Xiy. retired ✺
03.08.25	Janice Tjen - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang	2:1
WTA Miami
24.03.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang	2:1
23.03.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang	N/A

Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide