Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jelena Ostapenko		Victoria Mboko

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.5
	2.75	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.81	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.22)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
34.4%

Victoria Mboko
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelena Ostapenko's form might have worsened.

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Mboko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Mboko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Mboko Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Mboko will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Mboko is ranked WTA: 13.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ostapenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mboko could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Mboko will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWW?
- Victoria Mboko
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Victoria Mboko - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Mirra Andreeva - Victoria Mboko	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Vera Zvonareva - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Marie Bouzkova - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Mboko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide