Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Jelle Sels		Adrien Gobat

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.56)	1.91 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
51.3%

Adrien Gobat
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Adrien Gobat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adrien Gobat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adrien Gobat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jelle Sels - Adrien Gobat Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Gobat will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gobat: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 367. Gobat is ranked ATP: 1123.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Sels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Antoine Escoffier - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros	Sels J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Jelle Sels - Lorenzo Carboni	Sels J. retired ✺
25.02.25	Jelle Sels - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W??WL
- Adrien Gobat
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Adrien Gobat - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Adrien Gobat - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Adrien Gobat	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Loann Massard - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Adrien Gobat - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLW

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