Match Info

Date: 11 July 2022, Monday


	Jelle Sels		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.4	1.3
	3.3	1.27
	3.72	1.29
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
27.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jelle Sels - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sels is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
06.07.22	Jelle Sels - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
05.07.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.22	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	Deney Wassermann - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
01.07.22	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
07.07.22	Maximilian Neuchrist - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
05.07.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
14.06.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

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