Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jenson Brooksby		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.92	1.46
	2.95	1.40	Watch
	2.81	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
32.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Rune will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brooksby (votes: 2 - 50%). Rune (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 86. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Brooksby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rune is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Ugo Humbert - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Aleksandar Vukic	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Jaume Munar - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWL?W

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