Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MIAMI (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	09:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:00	SportKlub
Brazil	19:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	00:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	23:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	23:00	Premier Sport 3
Finland	00:00	MTV Urheilu
France	23:00	Eurosport 1
Germany	23:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	22:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	23:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	23:00	SportKlub


	Emilio Nava		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.71
	2.24	1.72
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.43)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
42.5%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bautista-Agut will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Emilio Nava - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Quentin Halys - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Emilio Nava - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Vit Kopriva - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Otto Virtanen - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.24	Tomas Machac - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Hugo Grenier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.24	Marton Fucsovics - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista-Agut

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Preview

Form

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