Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.55
			Watch
	2.46	1.57
	2.47	1.58
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
40.6%

Jesper De Jong
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). De Jong will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches De Jong is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Jong will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Jesper De Jong	Fatic N. retired ✺
17.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Quentin Halys - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LW?

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