The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jesper De Jong 60.2%
Hugo Gaston 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.
Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Jesper De Jong - Hugo Gaston Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
De Jong is ranked ATP: 106.Gaston is ranked ATP: 97.
In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gaston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
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