Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - FinalDate: 28 August 2026, FridayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Shintaro Mochizuki |
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Francesco Passaro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.73 |
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2.00 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.05 |
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1.75 |
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2.02 |
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1.81 |
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2.07 |
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1.72 |
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2.12 |
 Watch |
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1.80 |
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1.95 |
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1.78 |
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2.04 |
Watch |
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1.80 |
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1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.8) |
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2.03 ↑
(1.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 23.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Shintaro Mochizuki
53.4% | Francesco Passaro
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Passaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Passaro will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117. Passaro is ranked ATP: 207.Mochizuki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Passaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Passaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 07.02.23 | Francesco Passaro - Shintaro Mochizuki | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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