Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jessica Pegula		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	1.14	5.50	Watch
	1.16	5.00
	1.18	4.90
	1.18	5.90
	1.16	5.5	Watch
	1.15	5.80
	1.17	5.32	Watch
	1.15	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.17)	5.42 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
82.3%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fernandez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5 Games - Fernandez (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fernandez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 33.

Pegula is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fernandez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pegula is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
23.08.26	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Amanda Anisimova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Shuai Zhang - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
09.08.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Mirra Andreeva - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
22.03.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Washington
24.07.25	Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1
WTA Miami
24.03.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Pegula	0:2
Exhibition Matchplay 120 Women
06.06.20	Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1

Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide