Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Jiri Lehecka		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.34	3.20	Watch
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.36	3.26	Watch
	1.34	3.40
	1.37	3.28	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	3.29 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
71%

Daniel Vallejo
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Lehecka (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 23., and Vallejo is ranked ATP: 56..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Vallejo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Lehecka is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Ugo Humbert - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWWL

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