Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jiri Lehecka		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.99	1.45
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.15	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.28)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
33.1%

Karen Khachanov
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiri Lehecka's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	0%	85.2%

Jiri Lehecka - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
08.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - Yshai Oliel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLW?
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
24.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Karen Khachanov	Ruusuvuori E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?WW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
25.10.23	Jiri Lehecka - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Jiri Lehecka	2:0

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