Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3


	Jiri Lehecka		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.45
	1.63	2.44
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	2.39 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
60%

Thiago Monteiro
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	0%	42.4%

Jiri Lehecka - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Monteiro will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lehecka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monteiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Jiri Lehecka - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Radu Albot - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Jaime Faria - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
09.01.23	Jiri Lehecka - Thiago Monteiro	2:0
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.22	Jiri Lehecka - Thiago Monteiro	2:0

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