Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - Final

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Pennington R. (Usa)


	Joao Fonseca		Li Tu

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.48
	1.56	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
61.4%

Li Tu
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Joao Fonseca - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 214. Tu is ranked ATP: 222.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Hugo Grenier - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Liam Draxl - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Kaichi Uchida - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Li Tu - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Li Tu - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Li Tu - Taha Baadi	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Joao Fonseca - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide