Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Next Gen Finals - Jeddah (World) - Play Offs, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)


	Joao Fonseca		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.44	2.7
	1.48	2.78
	1.51	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	2.73 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
65.2%

Luca Van Assche
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Joao Fonseca - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Played with special rules. Played with special rules.

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 145. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 128.

Fonseca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.24	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	2:3 ✺
19.12.24	Learner Tien - Joao Fonseca	1:3 ✺
18.12.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Joao Fonseca - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Joao Fonseca - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.24	Luca Van Assche - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
19.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
18.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Luca Van Assche	1:3 ✺
ATP Metz
06.11.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gregoire Barrere - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLL

Joao Fonseca - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide